The Relationship between Crash Severity and Speeding Tickets: Lessons from a Nation-wide Survey

Murat Anil Mercan^1,

¹Gebze Technical University, Kocaeli, Turkey

Cite this paper:
Murat Anil Mercan. The Relationship between Crash Severity and Speeding Tickets: Lessons from a Nation-wide Survey. Journal of Finance and Economics. 2021; 9(3):147-151. doi: 10.12691/jfe-9-3-5

Abstract

Although many studies have investigated the relationship between car-crash severity and its determinants, few studies have taken advantage of nationwide datasets. This is especially true for developing countries. This study uses a unique dataset that includes all official police-recorded accidents in a developing country, namely Turkey. With this dataset, we estimate the relationship between the number of speeding tickets and multiple vehicle involvement, applying both Poisson and probit models for our analysis. Our estimates show a negative relationship between the number of speeding tickets issued in the provinces and the severity of deadly crashes; however, when we use the number of injured due to accidents, we find a positive relationship. This suggests that speeding tickets are a good policy to reduce crash severity. In addition, our analysis lets us investigate the determinants of crash severity.

Keywords:
speeding accident gender turkey poisson probit

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

References:

[1]	Organization, W.H., Global status report on road safety 2018: Summary. 2018, World Health Organization.
[2]	Makowsky, M.D. and T. Stratmann, More Tickets, Fewer Accidents: How Cash-Strapped Towns Make for Safer Roads. The Journal of Law and Economics, 2011. 54(4): p. 863-888.
[3]	Razi-Ardakani, H., A. Mahmoudzadeh, and M. Kermanshah, What factors results in having a severe crash? a closer look on distraction-related factors. Cogent Engineering, 2019. 6(1): p. 1708652.
[4]	Siskind, V., et al., Risk factors for fatal crashes in rural Australia. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2011. 43(3): p. 1082-1088.
[5]	Williams, A.F., S.Y. Kyrychenko, and R.A. Retting, Characteristics of speeders. Journal of Safety Research, 2006. 37(3): p. 227-232.
[6]	Gücüyener, İ., A novel design of heartbeat monitoring system for the motor vehicle. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 2016. 23(4): p. 395-399.
[7]	Naci, H. and T.D. Baker, Productivity losses from road traffic deaths in Turkey. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 2008. 15(1): p. 19-24.
[8]	Karacasu, M., B. Ergül, and A. Altin Yavuz, Estimating the causes of traffic accidents using logistic regression and discriminant analysis. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 2014. 21(4): p. 305-313.
[9]	Kadilar, G.O., Effect of driver, roadway, collision, and vehicle characteristics on crash severity: a conditional logistic regression approach. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 2016. 23(2): p. 135-144.
[10]	Akgüngör, A.P., Road traffic accidents and safety programme in Turkey. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 2007. 14(2): p. 119-121.
[11]	Çelik, A.K. and E. Oktay, A multinomial logit analysis of risk factors influencing road traffic injury severities in the Erzurum and Kars Provinces of Turkey. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2014. 72: p. 66-77.
[12]	Çelik, A.K. and E. Oktay, A Comparison of Ordered and Unordered Response Models for Analyzing Road Traffic Injury Severities in the North-Eastern Turkey. Periodica Polytechnica Transportation Engineering, 2017. 45(3): p. 119-132.
[13]	Ünlü, H.K., et al., A mixture model with Poisson and zero-truncated Poisson components to analyze road traffic accidents in Turkey. Journal of Applied Statistics, 2020: p. 1-15.
[14]	Tay, R., Speed cameras improving safety or raising revenue? Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (JTEP), 2010. 44(2): p. 247-257.
[15]	Hummel, D., Traffic Tickets: Public Safety Concerns or Budget Building Tools. Administration & Society, 2015. 47(3): p. 298-319.
[16]	Ang, A., P. Christensen, and R. Vieira, Should congested cities reduce their speed limits? Evidence from São Paulo, Brazil. Journal of Public Economics, 2020. 184: p. 104155.
[17]	Alonso, F., et al., Importance of Social- and Health-Related Problems: Do Spaniards Give Them the Significance They Actually Deserve? International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. 16(21): p. 4090.
[18]	Famoye, F., J.T. Wulu, and K.P. Singh, On the generalized Poisson regression model with an application to accident data. Journal of Data Science, 2004. 2(3): p. 287-295.
[19]	Balci, M., A. Golcuk, and H. Kahramanli, İstatistiksel Yaklaşımla Trafik Kazalarindaki Ölüm ve Yaralanma Durumlarinin Kusurlu Unsurlarla İlişkilerinin İncelenmesi. Selçuk-Teknik Dergisi, 2017. 16(3): p. 210-225.
[20]	Puvanachandra, P., et al., Burden of Road Traffic Injuries in Turkey. Traffic Injury Prevention, 2012. 13: p. 64-75.