Comparison of CGCM3, CSIRO MK3 and HADCM3 Models in Estimating the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation in Taleghan Basin

Arash YoosefDoost^1, , Hossein Asghari², Reza Abunuri¹ and Mohammad Sadegh Sadeghian¹

¹Civil Engineering Department, Islamic Azad University Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

²Environment Department, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

Cite this paper:
Arash YoosefDoost, Hossein Asghari, Reza Abunuri and Mohammad Sadegh Sadeghian. Comparison of CGCM3, CSIRO MK3 and HADCM3 Models in Estimating the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation in Taleghan Basin. American Journal of Environmental Protection. 2018; 6(1):28-34. doi: 10.12691/env-6-1-5

Abstract

Climate change is a significant change in weather or in its variability in a long period. This change could be in the average of temperature, rainfall, humidity, weather patterns, wind, and sunlight and so on. Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCMs) have been developed to simulate current climate of the planet and are able to predict future climate change of the Earth. In this paper the performance of CGCM3, CSIRO Mk3 and HadCM3 models in estimating the effects of climate change on temperature and precipitation of the Taleghan basin were studied. The results show that despite relatively acceptable performance of all three models in temperature modeling, it seems that the outputs of HadCM3 model for this basin are more desirable when compared with CGCM3 and CSIRO MK3 models and it is can be said that HadCM3 seems to be more reliable for this basin.

Keywords:
Climate Change Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model AOGCM CGCM3 CSIRO Mk3 HadCM3

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