Failure Probability Assessment for Pipelines under the Corrosion Effect

Mourad Nahal^1, and Rabia Khelif¹

¹Department of Mechanical Engineering, Badji Mokhtar University, Annaba, Algeria

Cite this paper:
Mourad Nahal and Rabia Khelif. Failure Probability Assessment for Pipelines under the Corrosion Effect. American Journal of Mechanical Engineering. 2014; 2(1):15-20. doi: 10.12691/ajme-2-1-3

Abstract

In this work, a numerical method was developed, by a reliability mechanical coupling, in order to define the reliability index and probability of failure evolutions for pipelines under corrosion effect. The chosen model, takes into account uniform and localized corrosion. Thus, the hardness and tensile tests were worked out to characterize the mechanical properties of pipelines material. Once the model was defined, a simulation was carried out by the software Phemica. The importance factors were also estimated. A methodology has been presented for the reliability analysis of pipelines subjected to localized corrosion. The variables influencing the reliability are treated as random variables and represented by suitable statistical distributions. An approximate limit state function was developed. Advanced first-order second moment reliability theory was employed for the estimation of the probability of pipeline failure by Phimeca software logiciel. From a numerical investigation, it was found that both defect depth and fluid pressure have significant influences on pipeline reliability.

Keywords:
reliability index corrosion pipelines probability of failure Folias factor

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