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<records>
  <record>
    <language>eng</language>
    <publisher>Science and Education Publishing</publisher>
    <journalTitle>Journal of Business and Management Sciences</journalTitle>
    <eissn>2333-4533</eissn>
    <publicationDate>2020-05-13</publicationDate>
    <volume>8</volume>
    <issue>2</issue>
    <startPage>61</startPage>
    <endPage>66</endPage>
    <doi>10.12691/jbms-8-2-4</doi>
    <publisherRecordId>JBMS2020824</publisherRecordId>
    <documentType>article</documentType>
    <title language="eng">Long-run Relationship of Economic Growth with Consumption, Unemployment Rates and Saving Rates in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Vietnam</title>
    <authors>
      <author>
        <name>Nguyen Thanh Giang</name>
        <email>Corresponding author: Nguyenthanhgiang_aof@gmail.com</email>
        <affiliationId>1</affiliationId>
      </author>
    </authors>
    <affiliationsList>
      <affiliationName affiliationId="1">Department of Public Finance, Academy of Finance, Hanoi, Vietnam</affiliationName>
    </affiliationsList>
    <abstract language="eng">The Keynesian macroeconomic model implies that household expenditures and savings have significant long-run impacts on economic growth by affecting total expenditures. Therefore, policymakers should determine and apply appropriate policies to maintain these variables. For this purpose, the long-run relationship of economic growth with consumption, unemployment and saving rates in Vietnam is analyzed with the time data method using annual data for the period 1996-2017. Consumption appears to have the most impact on economic growth in accordance with the estimation results of a co-integration test from an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL model). In long run, an increase of 1% in consumption expenditures decreases economic growth by 0.41%. A 1% increase in saving rates increases economic growth by 0.0009%. While an increase of 1% in unemployment rates decreases economic growth by 0.043%. Our results demonstrate that there exists only long run relationship among economic growth, consumption, saving and unemployment rates for Vietnam, but not in short run.</abstract>
    <fullTextUrl format="pdf">http://pubs.sciepub.com/jbms/8/2/4/jbms-8-2-4.pdf</fullTextUrl>
    <keywords language="eng">
      <keyword>economic growth</keyword>
      <keyword>consumption</keyword>
      <keyword>saving</keyword>
      <keyword>unemployment rates</keyword>
      <keyword>long-run</keyword>
    </keywords>
  </record>
</records>