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<records>
  <record>
    <language>eng</language>
    <publisher>Science and Education Publishing</publisher>
    <journalTitle>American Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics</journalTitle>
    <eissn>2328-7292</eissn>
    <publicationDate>2017-12-26</publicationDate>
    <volume>5</volume>
    <issue>5</issue>
    <startPage>169</startPage>
    <endPage>174</endPage>
    <doi>10.12691/ajams-5-5-3</doi>
    <publisherRecordId>AJAMS2017553</publisherRecordId>
    <documentType>article</documentType>
    <title language="eng">New Prospective on Multiple Dice Rolling Game and Its Statistical Implications</title>
    <authors>
      <author>
        <name>Jimbo Henri Claver</name>
        <email>jimbo_maths@yahoo.com</email>
        <affiliationId>1</affiliationId>
        <affiliationId>2</affiliationId>
      </author>
      <author>
        <name>Jawad Azimi</name>
        <affiliationId>3</affiliationId>
      </author>
      <author>
        <name>Takeru Suzuki</name>
        <affiliationId>3</affiliationId>
      </author>
    </authors>
    <affiliationsList>
      <affiliationName affiliationId="1">Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Joint Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan and American University of Afghanistan, Faculty Building 1, D-22, Po.Box 458, Central Post, Kabul, Afghanistan</affiliationName>
      <affiliationName affiliationId="3">Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Head Office, Kabul, Afghanistan</affiliationName>
    </affiliationsList>
    <abstract language="eng">We present a mathematical formulation of the Multiple Dice Rolling (MDR) game and develop an adaptive computational algorithm to simulate such game over time. We use an extended version of the well-known Chapman-Kolmogorov Equations (CKEs) to model the state transition of the probability mass function of each side of the dice during the game and represent the time-dependent propensity of the game by a simple regression process, which enable to capture the change in the expectation over time. Furthermore, we perform a quantitative analysis on the outcome of the game in a framework of Average Probability Value (APV) of appearance of a side of the dice over trials. The power of our approach is demonstrated. Our results also suggest that in the MDR game, the APV of appearance of a side of a dice can be appropriately predicted independently of the number of sides and trials.</abstract>
    <fullTextUrl format="pdf">http://pubs.sciepub.com/ajams/5/5/3/ajams-5-5-3.pdf</fullTextUrl>
    <keywords language="eng">
      <keyword>MDR Game</keyword>
      <keyword>Chapman-Kolmogorov Equations</keyword>
      <keyword>simulation</keyword>
      <keyword>propensity</keyword>
      <keyword>statistics</keyword>
      <keyword>expectation and regression</keyword>
    </keywords>
  </record>
</records>